Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.237862 0.269254 0.302690 0.340894 0.383276 0.428790 0.481303
2025-09-07 0.197834 0.240444 0.288634 0.346957 0.415404 0.492947 0.587197
2025-09-14 0.165975 0.214703 0.272764 0.346585 0.437437 0.545053 0.681578
2025-09-21 0.142110 0.194474 0.259853 0.346682 0.458073 0.595187 0.775613
2025-09-28 0.123548 0.178029 0.249007 0.347047 0.477553 0.643730 0.869492
2025-10-05 0.110441 0.166824 0.243170 0.352410 0.502680 0.699818 0.975218
2025-10-12 0.100967 0.159263 0.241030 0.361817 0.532937 0.763464 1.093536
2025-10-19 0.091184 0.149965 0.235246 0.365101 0.554246 0.815461 1.198132
2025-10-26 0.084023 0.143660 0.232926 0.372679 0.581452 0.876314 1.317253
2025-11-02 0.078582 0.139328 0.232938 0.383304 0.613200 0.944606 1.449524
2025-11-09 0.070972 0.130639 0.225368 0.381565 0.626043 0.985792 1.544216
2025-11-16 0.064456 0.123020 0.218702 0.380458 0.639328 1.027713 1.641229
2025-11-23 0.058325 0.115594 0.211979 0.379163 0.652867 1.071673 1.745052
2025-11-30 0.054464 0.111756 0.210837 0.386759 0.680744 1.138619 1.886563
2025-12-07 0.049739 0.105803 0.205521 0.386865 0.696320 1.187016 2.001485
2025-12-14 0.045567 0.100410 0.200662 0.387255 0.712145 1.236248 2.119517
2025-12-21 0.041856 0.095482 0.196161 0.387812 0.728054 1.286045 2.240213
2025-12-28 0.039236 0.092439 0.194826 0.393810 0.753412 1.352084 2.389443
2026-01-04 0.037392 0.090787 0.195933 0.404230 0.786869 1.432723 2.565415
2026-01-11 0.034902 0.087474 0.193532 0.407876 0.808375 1.494070 2.711683
2026-01-18 0.033137 0.085546 0.193666 0.416244 0.838665 1.571368 2.887279
2026-01-25 0.031843 0.084525 0.195514 0.427961 0.875545 1.661295 3.087296
2026-02-01 0.029323 0.080390 0.190611 0.426050 0.886956 1.707254 3.213701